Overview
- Oral arguments begin Wednesday on the legality of President Trump’s IEEPA-based tariffs, with Trump skipping the session and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying he will attend.
- Neal Katyal is set to argue for challengers who contend the 1977 emergency law does not authorize broad duties, while the tariffs remain in force during the review.
- Lower courts have ruled the president exceeded his authority under IEEPA, setting up a Supreme Court fight over whether “regulate” encompasses tariffs and how the major-questions doctrine applies.
- Fiscal stakes are significant, with PwC estimating roughly $108 billion collected through October and potential refunds around $100 billion if the Court invalidates the IEEPA tariff scheme.
- The administration signals contingency plans to shift to other trade statutes such as Sections 232, 301, 122 and 338 if IEEPA is curtailed, a path officials say could keep many tariffs in place.