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Super Bowl LX Odds: Seahawks Stay -4.5 Favorite as Total Ticks Down and Prop Menus Surge

Sharp money on the under is the week’s defining shift in the Super Bowl market.

Overview

  • Seattle remains a consensus 4.5-point favorite over New England, with a few books testing -5, and money lines hovering near Seahawks -220/-238 and Patriots +190/+200.
  • Sportsbooks report steady sharp action on the under, moving the total from around 46.5 to 45–45.5, with Westgate and South Point citing professional bets driving the drop.
  • Operators are pushing extensive prop slates, including quarter-specific markets (e.g., lowest-scoring quarter pricing), coin-toss wagers, and an overtime prop paying about +1200 at some outlets.
  • The SportsLine Projection Model highlights anytime-touchdown value on Jaxon Smith-Njigba (projected to score in 65% of simulations) along with Rhamondre Stevenson and Kayshon Boutte for New England.
  • A notable preseason exacta at Circa would return $310,000 on a $100 ticket if the Patriots beat the Seahawks, underscoring interest in longshot and exotic outcomes.