Overview
- NOAA confirmed an X8.3-class solar flare peaking at 23:57 UTC on February 1 from Active Region 4366, the strongest flare reported in 2026 so far.
- The fast-growing, magnetically complex region produced multiple X-class events—including X1.0, X2.8 and X1.6—alongside dozens of M-class flares within roughly 36 hours.
- The X-class eruptions caused strong R3-level shortwave radio blackouts across the South Pacific, affecting eastern Australia and New Zealand.
- NOAA and NASA imagery and modeling point to one or more CMEs largely directed away from Earth, though a grazing passage on February 5 remains possible and could enhance auroras.
- Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet with low K indices, but SWPC has raised flare probabilities through February 4 and notes brief proton flux elevations are possible.