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Sunderland’s Surge to Fourth Forces Rethink of Relegation Forecasts

Opta now projects a midtable finish, reversing a preseason call for bottom place.

Overview

  • Sunderland have 17 points from nine matches and sit fourth after a 2-1 win at Chelsea.
  • Regis Le Bris has overseen a rapid rebuild with 15 summer signings and a youth-focused recruitment plan.
  • Opta’s model shifted from predicting 20th to forecasting 14th with about 46 points and sharply lower relegation odds.
  • The club returned to the top flight via last season’s play-offs, defying bookmakers who made them favorites to go down.
  • Analysts note extrapolated totals such as 71 points are speculative given the small sample, even as belief grows under Le Bris.