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Study Warns Germany Could Miss €1.7 Trillion in Tech Value by 2030

The authors urge a pivot to scaling research results, citing a severe venture-capital shortfall plus a scarcity of unicorns.

Overview

  • Published Feb. 13, 2026 by BCG and UnternehmerTUM, the "Wachstumspfade" study quantifies a large but unrealized value-creation opportunity.
  • The analysis pinpoints six priority fields—AI, quantum technology, microelectronics, biotechnology, climate-neutral energy and fusion, and mobility—as the core drivers.
  • Germany shows strong science and patenting, yet the transfer into scalable business models remains insufficient.
  • The scale-up gap is stark, with about 30 German unicorns versus roughly 700 in the United States and about 370 in China.
  • Authors recommend focusing on industrial AI, robotics and world models, plus mobility areas such as batteries, Hyperloop and autonomous systems, with the federal Hightech Agenda positioned as a key lever.