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Study Reveals Stark Climate Inequities and Rising Heatwave Risks for Today’s Youth

New research shows that limiting global warming to 1.5 °C could protect millions of children from unprecedented climate extremes, while current policies project severe impacts by 2100.

Trockenheit am Bodensee
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„Gerade die am meisten benachteiligten Kinder erleben die schlimmste Eskalation von Klimaextremen”, so einer der Forschenden. © D. Talukdar/iStock

Overview

  • Under current climate policies, global temperatures are projected to rise by 2.7 °C by 2100, exposing millions of children to unprecedented heatwave risks.
  • The study finds that 92% of today’s five-year-olds could face extreme heatwaves in a 3.5 °C scenario, compared to 52% under a 1.5 °C limit.
  • Wealthier populations are responsible for two-thirds of observed warming since 1990, while poorer communities bear the greatest climate burdens despite minimal emissions.
  • Researchers define 'unprecedented' climate extremes as events with less than a 1 in 10,000 chance of occurring without human-induced climate change.
  • Limiting warming to 1.5 °C could spare approximately 49 million children born in 2020 from unprecedented heatwave exposure, highlighting the urgency of emissions reductions.