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Study Recasts Early-Onset Cancer Surge as Overdiagnosis, With Warning Signs in Colorectal and Uterine Disease

Most under-50 cancers show flat mortality with no rise in metastatic cases.

Overview

  • Diagnoses in adults under 50 have roughly doubled since 1990—from about 30 to 60 per 100,000—but severe cases have not risen in parallel.
  • Across eight fast-rising cancers, overall mortality held at 5.9 deaths per 100,000 from 1992 to 2022, supporting what authors call an “epidemic of diagnosis.”
  • Colorectal and uterine cancers are notable exceptions, with rising deaths in younger adults prompting calls for cancer-specific responses.
  • Expanded detection, including the U.S. move to lower colorectal screening to age 45, likely inflated recent case counts, especially in 2021–2022.
  • Experts cite obesity, alcohol use, diet and microbiome changes as plausible contributors, and an American Cancer Society report found new diagnoses in women 82% higher than in men.