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Study of 27 Million Flights Finds Airlines Could Cut CO2 11% Now, Up to 75% With Efficiency

The results challenge industry focus on sustainable fuels by highlighting far larger savings from operations.

Overview

  • Researchers report airlines could immediately cut global emissions about 11% by redeploying their most efficient aircraft on existing routes.
  • Applying three measures together — most efficient jets, all‑economy cabins, and roughly 95% occupancy — yields an estimated 50–75% reduction in CO2.
  • The peer‑reviewed study in Communications Earth & Environment analyzed over 27 million flights across 26,000 city pairs serving nearly 3.5 billion passengers in 2023.
  • Efficiency varied sharply by route and configuration, with per‑passenger CO2 ranging roughly 30–900 g/km and premium seating driving more than triple the emissions of economy on average.
  • ICAO estimates operational changes contribute only 4–11% toward net zero and industry voices point to aircraft delivery backlogs and limited SAF supply, underscoring policy choices on ratings, fees or restrictions.