Overview
- The peer-reviewed paper published in Environmental Research Letters analyzed 16 climate shocks between 2022 and 2024 across 18 countries and tied them to major wholesale price jumps.
- Olive oil prices in the European Union climbed 50% in early 2024 after a prolonged drought during the 2022–23 growing season intensified by global warming.
- Global cocoa quotations surged 280–300% in April 2024 following unprecedented heatwaves in Ivory Coast and Ghana, while coffee prices rose up to 100% in Brazil and Vietnam amid severe droughts and heat.
- Researchers warn that these inflationary shocks compound risks to food security, public health and monetary stability, hitting low-income households hardest where food constitutes the largest budget share.
- The study authors and financial authorities call for urgent greenhouse gas cuts and targeted investments in climate-resilient agriculture to curb future price volatility.