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Study Links 14th‑Century Volcano to Black Death via Famine‑Driven Grain Trade

An interdisciplinary analysis proposes a climate‑driven trade route for plague entry into Europe.

Overview

  • The paper in Communications Earth & Environment argues a major eruption around 1345 cooled parts of Europe and set off multi‑year crop failures.
  • Tree‑ring records and sulfur spikes in Greenland and Antarctic ice cores underpin the inferred eruption and the subsequent regional cooling.
  • Historical sources describe shortages that led Venice and Genoa to secure Black Sea grain in 1347 after easing tensions with the Golden Horde.
  • The authors propose rat fleas surviving on grain dust carried Yersinia pestis on these shipments, with early outbreaks recorded in ports and then inland hubs like Padua.
  • The study is deemed plausible by outside experts, though the volcano’s source and direct evidence of pathogen transport on grain remain unresolved.