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Study Hints at 'Planet Y' in Outer Solar System After Kuiper Belt Warp Detected

Researchers report a modest signal in trans-Neptunian orbits consistent with a small inclined planet.

Overview

  • A preprint led by Amir Siraj proposes a Mercury-to-Earth–mass planet at roughly 100–200 astronomical units to explain a measured tilt in distant Kuiper belt orbits.
  • The team finds the mean orbital plane of objects about 80–400 AU from the Sun appears warped by roughly 15 degrees relative to the solar system’s plane.
  • The authors characterize the evidence as tentative, estimating a 2–4% chance the signal is a statistical fluke and noting no direct detection of the planet.
  • The paper is posted on arXiv and, according to the authors, has been accepted for publication in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.
  • Upcoming observations from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s LSST are expected to rapidly expand the TNO catalog and could confirm or refute the warp within the survey’s first few years.