Overview
- Dezim’s survey, published in coverage on Monday, August 31, 2026, shows a clear fall in how many eligible voters with a migration background say major parties are “wählbar.”
- The drop is strongest for people with roots in Turkey, the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan, where CDU/CSU acceptability fell from about 67 percent to about 50 percent and SPD acceptability fell from about 71 percent to about 60 percent.
- Across the group the SPD still has the largest potential, with roughly two thirds of voters with migration history saying the party would be conceivable for them to vote for.
- The AfD is generally less attractive to voters with migration backgrounds but performs relatively better among people with roots in Russia and other former Soviet states, a pattern linked in coverage to the party’s stance on Ukraine and its monitoring by the Verfassungsschutz.
- The study defines migration background as having at least one parent born without German citizenship and measures long‑term acceptability rather than short‑term vote intentions, a distinction that shapes how parties may need to change outreach and campaign strategy and could affect turnout and messaging in future elections.