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Study Finds One-Third of Critical Drug Ingredients at Risk From Germany’s China Reliance

An industry analysis says a cut in Chinese API supplies could remove roughly 42 million medicine packs from the German market each year.

Overview

  • A Pro Generika–commissioned study examined 56 supply‑relevant active ingredients and found 20 where Chinese dominance means a halt would endanger German medicine supply.
  • Antibiotics, diabetes treatments and common painkillers are flagged as most exposed, with the report saying short‑term substitution is technically not feasible.
  • The study’s stress test estimates 42 million pack units annually would be unavailable if Chinese producers stopped deliveries.
  • Asia supplies 68% of APIs for Europe—24% from China and 37% from India—while Europe accounts for only 23% of antibiotic production sites.
  • Authors warn China could use export restrictions as leverage, and industry leaders urge policies to secure production and diversify sourcing, with no new government actions detailed.