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Study Finds North Korea’s Costly Support to Russia Far Outpaces Moscow’s Return

South Korean intelligence reports growing North Korean frustration over scant compensation alongside heavy battlefield losses.

Overview

  • Research for the Friedrich-Naumann-Stiftung estimates Pyongyang has supplied weapons worth at least $5.6 billion and sent roughly 15,000 troops since 2023, with an upper valuation cited up to $9.8 billion.
  • Russia’s compensation is assessed at about $450 million to $1.2 billion, with no visible boost to North Korea’s economy according to the study.
  • Reported returns to Pyongyang consist mainly of food, oil and limited military systems such as air-defence kits and GPS jammers, with no clear evidence of significant hard-currency inflows.
  • South Korea’s NIS estimates around 2,000 North Korean soldiers have been killed in the fighting, and briefings relayed that Kim Jong Un has complained to Vladimir Putin about inadequate payback.
  • Recent reporting notes strains in the partnership, including rare North Korean state-media criticism of Russian coordination, and analysis says Pyongyang is exploring closer economic ties with China.