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Study Finds GPT-4 Outperforms Human Analysts in Financial Forecasting

Research from the University of Chicago reveals AI's superior accuracy in predicting earnings changes, even without industry-specific information.

  • GPT-4 achieved a 60.4% accuracy rate in predicting future earnings, surpassing human analysts by 7 percentage points.
  • The AI used chain-of-thought prompts to emulate human reasoning, enhancing its analytical capabilities.
  • Trading strategies based on GPT-4 forecasts were more profitable than traditional stock market approaches.
  • The study suggests AI can democratize financial information processing and aid decision-making.
  • Researchers caution that AI performance in real-world financial markets remains to be fully evaluated.
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