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Study Finds Extreme-Rainfall Deaths in Mumbai Are Underreported, Near 2,700 a Year

Excess-mortality modeling shows far higher monsoon fatalities than official counts in India’s financial hub.

Overview

  • Researchers estimate 2,718 monsoon-linked deaths per year in 2006–2015, roughly an order of magnitude higher than Maharashtra’s official records for comparable years.
  • The toll accounted for about 8% of all deaths during monsoon months, with a mortality cost valued near $1.2 billion annually, or about $12 billion over the decade.
  • Many fatalities were missed in official tallies because indirect causes such as electrocution, waterborne disease and disrupted access to care rarely appear on death certificates as rain-related.
  • Risk was concentrated in informal settlements, with children, women and adults over 65 most affected, and about 80% of those affected living in slum areas.
  • The findings are informing COP30 debates on loss-and-damage finance as a new fund issues its first call for proposals and experts estimate developing countries may require at least $250 billion a year by 2030.