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Study Finds 69,000 U.S. Deaths Linked to Temperature Extremes Since 1999, With Heat Mortality Rising

Using CDC death records, researchers identify cold as the larger current toll, urging targeted protections.

Overview

  • Researchers counted 69,256 deaths from 1999–2024 with heat or cold listed on death certificates, equal to roughly 1 in 1,000 U.S. deaths.
  • Cold accounted for 65% of the recorded temperature-related deaths and heat 35%, with crude mortality rates trending higher in recent years.
  • Older adults, men, and non-Hispanic Black people bear the highest risks, with Black individuals experiencing more than double the adjusted heat-related mortality of white individuals.
  • The analysis relies on CDC WONDER death-certificate coding, capturing chronic and indoor cases that incident-based systems such as the National Weather Service typically miss.
  • Authors say many deaths are preventable and recommend improved housing insulation, reliable access to heating and cooling, and early-warning systems for high-risk groups.