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StubHub Tumbles After First Post‑IPO Report as Company Withholds Guidance

Management cited unpredictable ticket on‑sale timing, with a 2026 outlook coming alongside fourth‑quarter results.

Overview

  • Shares dropped roughly 24% to nearly 29% on Friday, leaving the stock near $15 and below the $23.50 IPO price.
  • Revenue rose to $468.1 million, beating estimates, as gross merchandise sales reached $2.43 billion, or up 24% excluding last year’s Taylor Swift effect.
  • StubHub posted a $1.33 billion net loss driven by a one‑time $1.4 billion stock‑based compensation charge tied to its September IPO.
  • The company reported $67 million in adjusted EBITDA, used IPO proceeds to repay about $750 million of debt, and unveiled a multi‑year MLB ticket distribution partnership starting in 2026.
  • Analysts cut price targets, with BofA lowering its rating to Neutral and setting a $19 target, after the company declined to provide near‑term guidance and highlighted variable on‑sale timing.