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Stubborn High-Pressure Pair Keeps Germany Gray as Early-Week Cooldown Looms

Forecasts keep the short term mild and dry, with a possible early‑week chill still uncertain.

Overview

  • Blocking highs Rita and Sieglinde are suppressing Atlantic systems, bringing calm, mostly dry weather with widespread fog and low stratus across much of Germany.
  • DWD forecasts for the southwest call for alternating cloud, fog and brief sun with highs around 14 to 19°C and light winds through the week.
  • Berlin and Brandenburg are set to stay largely overcast with dense morning fog and occasional drizzle, while NRW remains predominantly gray with highs near 17 to 18°C.
  • Most model guidance keeps the high-pressure regime in place for at least a week, though some runs indicate a northerly push from Monday, October 13 that would cool daytime highs noticeably.
  • DWD ten‑day outlooks highlight a frost risk in Bavaria around October 14–15, with nights near or below 0°C, even as confidence in a broader pattern shift remains limited.