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Stubborn High-Pressure Duo Locks Germany Into Foggy, Mild Stretch as Models Flag Colder Turn Next Week

Guidance points to a quiet stretch through the weekend with a possible frost‑prone northerly turn from 13 October.

Overview

  • High-pressure systems Rita and Sieglinde are blocking Atlantic lows and sustaining dry, light-wind conditions across Central Europe.
  • Widespread fog and high fog are limiting sunshine, with daytime highs commonly near 14–19°C and locally close to 20°C.
  • DWD outlooks keep Baden‑Württemberg mostly dry with patchy fog, while Berlin and Brandenburg face grey skies with occasional drizzle.
  • In NRW, moist flow under nearby high pressure favors persistent cloud, with slightly better sunshine prospects as drier air arrives early next week.
  • Multiple forecasts indicate a pattern shift from 13 October toward colder northerly air and clearer nights with elevated frost risk, while any polar‑vortex split scenario remains speculative.