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Storm Amy Batters UK as New Model Runs Flag Mid-October Scottish Snow Risk

Forecasters caution that WX Charts’ heavier mid-October snow signals carry low confidence, with any wintry showers most likely confined to Scottish high ground.

Overview

  • Storm Amy, the first named storm of the 2025–26 season, is bringing strong winds and heavy rain across the UK, with very strong and damaging gusts in the north continuing into Saturday.
  • Latest WX Charts outputs using the GFS model now suggest bursts of heavier snow up to 5 cm per hour in parts of Scotland around October 18–19, an update on earlier projections focused on October 11–17.
  • The Met Office and BBC Weather stress that medium-range confidence remains low as Atlantic low-pressure systems and ex-tropical influences such as Imelda and Humberto could alter the pattern.
  • Model-based indications continue to point to any snow being short-lived and focused on higher terrain in Scotland, with earlier runs showing only modest accumulations and light hourly rates.
  • England is broadly expected to avoid significant October snowfall, though some northern locations could see daytime temperatures near 0C as the month turns cooler.