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Stocks Set Fresh Records as Data Blackout Fuels Rate‑Cut Bets

A shutdown‑delayed jobs report shifted focus to private indicators, bolstering rate‑cut expectations.

Overview

  • S&P 500 and Dow closed at all‑time highs on Friday, with the Russell 2000 also notching a record after a strong quarter.
  • With official payrolls delayed by the shutdown, softer private hiring data and Fed signals pushed markets to price a better than 90% chance of an October cut as the 10‑year yield hovered near 4.12%.
  • Gold climbed to fresh highs above $3,800 per ounce, while crude oil fell roughly 7%–8% for the week on weak demand signs and potential OPEC+ supply increases.
  • Nvidia’s valuation was reported around $4.5 trillion as coverage said a UAE chip deal remains stalled without U.S. export authorization five months after its announcement.
  • Intel rallied on reported funding and partnerships, including a $5 billion Nvidia investment and a U.S. government equity stake, while Electronic Arts agreed to a $55 billion take‑private offering $210 per share.