Overview
- U.S. indexes fell on Monday after Friday’s surge, with the Dow down 0.77%, the S&P 500 off 0.43% and the Nasdaq lower by 0.22%.
- Rate-cut odds for September held in the mid-80% range on CME FedWatch following Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks, while 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields edged up from Friday’s drop and the dollar strengthened.
- Nvidia reports Wednesday in a closely watched update for the AI trade, as markets also await the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation gauge on Friday and U.S. payrolls next week.
- Major brokerages including Barclays, BNP Paribas and Deutsche Bank now project a 25-basis-point cut next month, even as policymakers flag tariff-driven inflation risks.
- Asian markets initially tracked Wall Street’s rally, but regional futures pointed lower for Tuesday as focus shifted to U.S. data, policy signals and local trade headwinds.