Overview
- The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs on Thursday, and U.S. stock futures pointed higher early Friday.
- A third day of the government shutdown has delayed weekly jobless claims and the September payrolls report, leaving the Fed with fewer inputs ahead of the Oct. 28–29 meeting.
- Market pricing shows near-certain odds of a rate cut this month, with softer private labor indicators reinforcing the shift in expectations.
- Chip and AI-exposed stocks led gains after OpenAI announced Stargate partnerships in South Korea, lifting names like Nvidia, AMD and Intel, though Applied Materials warned new U.S. export rules will cut revenue.
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned of hits to growth, and the CBO estimated about 750,000 daily furloughs, as data showed institutions selling into retail buying that some strategists view as a sign of fragility.