Overview

• The S&P 500 has increased by over 12% since early August, a trend historically favoring the incumbent party in U.S. elections.
• Since 1928, the S&P 500 has predicted the winner in 20 out of 24 elections, with rising markets often signaling a win for the current administration.
• Despite strong market performance, a majority of voters still perceive the economy negatively due to persistent inflation and high living costs.
• Experts warn of potential market volatility due to political instability and possible legal battles if the election results are contested.
• Public sentiment shows growing confidence in Democrats' economic management, challenging Trump's previous economic advantage.