Overview
- President of the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, Kássio Nunes Marques, issued a liminar on June 9 that ordered AtlasIntel to remove the poll and deliver methodological documentation within two days, citing indications the questionnaire and an audio excerpt could have induced interviewees.
- The contested survey, registered BR-06939/2026, was conducted May 13–18 and published May 19 and showed a decline in voting intention for senator Flávio Bolsonaro after leaked audio of his requests to financier Daniel Vorcaro became public.
- AtlasIntel denies methodological flaws and says the disputed audio was shown only after core voting-intention questions were completed, and it points to similar directional findings from other institutes such as Quaest and Datafolha.
- The PL filed the petition that prompted the liminar, arguing the sequence and framing of eight questions linking Flávio to the Banco Master affair created a risk of bias, and the TSE plenary is scheduled to decide whether to uphold or overturn the suspension tonight.
- Lawmakers and parties are sharply split over the move with some calling it necessary electoral oversight and others denouncing censorship, and observers warn the case could set a precedent affecting how pollsters use audiovisual material and how courts police survey methods.