Overview

• Kickoff is set for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium, with sportsbooks listing Pittsburgh around -1.5.
• Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model gives the Steelers a 57% win probability and projects a 22-20 final with value on under 44.5 points.
• Mike Tomlin highlighted limiting Drake Maye’s off-script plays and noted New England’s deep backfield led by Rhamondre Stevenson and rookie TreVeyon Henderson.
• Early evaluations cite shaky Steelers line play and a bland secondary plan, compounded by absences of starters Joey Porter Jr. and DeShon Elliott.
• Pittsburgh seeks its first win at Gillette since 2008, as Aaron Rodgers also chases his first career victory in Foxborough after an 0-2 mark there.