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States–Federal Funding Clash Puts German Restaurant VAT Cut at Risk

A funding standoff between Berlin versus state governments threatens the January 2026 relief plan.

Overview

  • Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil warned the package could be dropped if Länder refuse to share the multi‑billion‑euro costs.
  • The proposal would lower VAT on restaurant meals from 19% to 7% starting in January 2026, but it remains unapproved.
  • States are cited as projecting more than €11 billion in costs through 2030 and are pressing the federal government to cover the shortfall.
  • Hospitality leaders from DEHOGA caution that failure would force price increases and could trigger closures, with Rheinland‑Pfalz’s chief estimating roughly 500 shutdowns this year.
  • Industry representatives decry a political blame game eroding confidence as the dispute unfolds around the Ministerpräsidentenkonferenz in Mainz, which also touches commuter and volunteer tax measures.