Overview

• A More in Common MRP model based on nearly 20,000 interviews projects Reform winning about 373 seats with Labour on roughly 90, pushing the Conservatives to fourth behind the Liberal Democrats.
• Opening the conference, Starmer urged members to stop “navel-gazing,” cast the fight against Reform as existential, and condemned plans to deport people lawfully resident as a “racist” and “immoral” policy.
• He said he will be judged on improving living standards, public services and safety, arguing his government needs space to deliver after a slow first year.
• Ipsos reports only 13% of voters are satisfied with his leadership, the lowest for any UK prime minister since 1977, as MPs sound out Andy Burnham and recent exits by Angela Rayner and Peter Mandelson deepen unease.
• Unite’s Sharon Graham warned the union could reconsider its link and funding depending on the November budget and fiscal stance, while pro‑Palestinian protesters mounted demonstrations outside the Liverpool venue.