Overview

• A More in Common MRP model projects Reform UK winning 373 seats and a 96-seat majority, with Labour cut to 90, following a separate YouGov seat projection that also put Reform ahead.
• Opening the Liverpool gathering, Keir Starmer condemned Reform’s plan to scrap indefinite leave to remain as “racist” and warned it would “tear the UK apart.”
• Ipsos reports Starmer’s net satisfaction at -66, the lowest recorded for a UK prime minister, with voting intention figures showing Labour trailing Reform.
• Internal pressure is intensifying as a Survation poll of Labour members finds a majority want a new leader and Andy Burnham says MPs have urged him to consider a bid.
• Ministers flagged a reset with pledges for three new towns, a push for a youth mobility scheme with the EU and stricter settlement rules, while Unite warned the forthcoming Budget will determine its future support.