Overview

• At the Liverpool conference opening, Keir Starmer urged unity to “beat Reform” and condemned the party’s plan to revoke indefinite leave to remain as immoral and likely to “rip this country apart.”
• Ipsos reports only 13% of voters are satisfied with Starmer’s leadership, the lowest level recorded for a UK prime minister since 1977, intensifying pressure on his position.
• A large-sample MRP by More in Common projects Reform winning a parliamentary majority, though such seat models carry uncertainty, reinforcing warnings that Labour faces heavy losses.
• Ministers trailed tougher migration measures, with Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood signaling stricter conditions for leave to remain and reforms to make deportations easier, while colleagues prepare further attacks on Nigel Farage’s proposals.
• Labour paired its counteroffensive with delivery-focused pledges, including three new towns and a £1.5bn loan guarantee for Jaguar Land Rover, as HQ directs activists to target non‑voters even as Andy Burnham urges an open internal debate about the party’s direction.