Overview

• The prime minister said Reform UK’s move to scrap indefinite leave to remain would target people lawfully settled in Britain and would “rip this country apart.”
• He urged members to stop “navel-gazing,” calling the contest with Reform “the fight of our lives” and framing Labour’s offer as patriotic renewal versus toxic division.
• A More in Common MRP model projects Reform could win about 373 seats with Labour cut to roughly 90, a scenario presented as a projection rather than a forecast of an actual election result.
• Ipsos reports Starmer’s satisfaction rating at the lowest for any UK prime minister since 1977, with 13% satisfied and 79% dissatisfied.
• Leadership chatter intensified as Andy Burnham acknowledged approaches about a potential bid, while Labour flagged policy moves at conference including a pledge for three new towns and immigration changes focused on contribution to communities.