Overview

• Researchers report about a 13% relative employment decline since late 2022 for workers ages 22–25 in occupations most exposed to generative AI.
• The study draws on millions of U.S. payroll records from 2021 to mid‑2025 and finds the pattern persists after controls for COVID-era effects, remote work shifts, and firm-level shocks.
• Older workers in the same occupations generally saw stable or rising employment, and pay trends show little change, indicating adjustment is occurring through fewer entry-level hires rather than wage cuts.
• Employment declines are concentrated where AI automates routine tasks, while roles using AI to augment human work show stable or higher hiring for entry-level workers.
• Coverage also notes a contested MIT claim that 95% of corporate GenAI projects fail, with critics highlighting methodological weaknesses and pointing to successful off-the-shelf deployments.