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Standard Chartered Says Its $100K Bitcoin Forecast May Be Too Low

Geoff Kendrick argues that short-covering plus recovering U.S. spot ETF inflows could push Bitcoin toward its $126,000 record if momentum holds.

Overview

  • Bitcoin has rallied sharply in the past week to roughly $76,000–$77,000, driven mainly by forced buying as short positions were liquidated.
  • Standard Chartered’s global head of digital asset research, Geoff Kendrick, said the bank’s published $100,000 year-end forecast may now be conservative and that Bitcoin could revisit the $126,000 all-time high before year-end if the recovery continues.
  • Kendrick pointed to low open interest as a structural feature that lets investors rebuild positions without immediate crowded leverage, which can make rallies more durable.
  • Recovering inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds are cited as a separate source of steady buying that could sustain gains beyond mechanically driven short-covering.
  • The bank has not formally replaced its $100,000 target, and market watchers will focus on whether momentum holds past the October 6 anniversary of last year’s peak as a test of a sustained recovery.