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Stafford Narrowly Favored in Two-Player NFL MVP Race Ahead of Feb. 5 Reveal

Ballots are sealed by the 50-member media panel with betting markets tilting toward Stafford.

Overview

  • Sportsbooks and prediction platforms list Matthew Stafford as a slight favorite over Drake Maye, including a -195 line and a 67% chance on Kalshi.
  • Stafford led the NFL with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdowns and recently collected NFC Offensive Player of the Week and December/January Offensive Player of the Month honors.
  • Maye paced the league in completion percentage, passer rating and QBR, totaled 4,394 yards and 31 passing touchdowns, and steered New England to a 14-3 finish.
  • If Maye wins, he would become the first quarterback to earn MVP without another Pro Bowler on his offense, a distinction highlighted in the current debate.
  • Tom Brady publicly endorsed Stafford for MVP as discussion continues over counting stats versus efficiency, strength of schedule and the value of each quarterback’s supporting cast.