Overview
- The race has effectively narrowed to Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye after both completed standout regular seasons.
- Stafford led the NFL with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdown passes, while Maye topped completion percentage at 72% and led passer rating (113.5) and QBR (77.2).
- New England finished 14-3 compared with the Rams at 12-5, yet sportsbooks still make Stafford the favorite entering the Wild Card round.
- Latest lines cited list Stafford at -195 and Maye at +160, with prediction market Kalshi pricing implying about a 67% chance for Stafford.
- Bleacher Report forecasts a narrow Stafford win, citing TeamRankings data that the Rams faced the league’s toughest schedule versus an easier slate for the Patriots.