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Stafford Holds MVP Edge After Week 16 as Maye Closes In

The race hinges on whether elite numbers outweigh playoff seeding, with Stafford pursuing a rare quarterback triple crown.

Overview

  • DraftKings lists Matthew Stafford as the MVP favorite at -220 over Drake Maye at +185 entering Week 17.
  • Through 16 weeks, Stafford leads the NFL with 4,179 passing yards, 40 touchdowns and a roughly 112 passer rating, putting him on track for a QB triple crown last accomplished by Aaron Rodgers in 2020.
  • The Rams’ overtime loss to the Seahawks dropped Los Angeles to 11-4 and the NFC’s No. 5 seed, leaving them without control of the division race.
  • Drake Maye bolstered his case with a career-best outing in a playoff-clinching win over the Ravens, and New England can claim the AFC East by beating the Jets and Dolphins.
  • Prediction market Kalshi gives Stafford a 70% chance and Maye 27%, as some analysts — including ESPN’s Ben Solak — argue Stafford’s stronger supporting cast should weigh on ballots.