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Spring Warmup Sets Up Midweek Storm Risk Before Late-Week Cold Front

Uncertainty over the front's arrival drives the forecast.

Overview

  • Following Sunday's milder turn, a strong southerly flow pushes highs into the 60s and 70s early this week with a few spots near 80.
  • Rain and thunderstorm chances climb from late Monday night into Wednesday, and the Storm Prediction Center flags a Marginal Risk for parts of the Great Lakes and Midwest where gusty winds and hail are possible.
  • Forecast confidence hinges on timing as an earlier Wednesday front would cap temperatures and limit severe potential while a later arrival would allow more heating and stronger storms.
  • A sharp cooldown follows the strong front late week with highs falling back to the 30s and 40s in some areas and a rain to snow or wintry mix possible in interior New England and higher terrain.
  • Southeast Louisiana faced critical fire weather under a Red Flag Warning Saturday due to dry, breezy air but increasing Gulf moisture next week brings daily storm chances and highs in the low to mid 80s.