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SportsLine Model Releases 2025–26 Bowl Picks, Backing Penn State and Missouri

The model posts probabilistic selections across 46 bowls with five projected outright upsets.

Overview

  • SportsLine’s computer simulates every FBS game 10,000 times and publishes spread, moneyline and total projections for the entire bowl slate.
  • Penn State is rated to cover +3.5 against Clemson in the Pinstripe Bowl in nearly 60% of simulations, with the Under also hitting in almost 60%.
  • Missouri is projected to cover -6.5 versus No. 20 Virginia in the Gator Bowl, with context including Virginia’s ACC title-game loss and recent bowl struggles.
  • The bowl schedule opens with the LA Bowl on Dec. 13, and the College Football Playoff First Round begins Dec. 19.
  • CBS Sports lists notable odds, including Alabama as a 1.5-point road favorite at Oklahoma and Oregon favored by as many as 21.5 points over James Madison in the CFP.