Overview

• Missouri State visits Middle Tennessee at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2 from Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.
• Sportsbooks list Missouri State as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 49.5, but the SportsLine model projects Middle Tennessee to cover in 58% of simulations.
• The model estimates roughly 51 combined points for Missouri State–MTSU and indicates one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations.
• For Liberty at UTEP, the model favors Liberty -1.5 to cover and projects the Over 46.5 to cash 68% of the time with about 52 combined points.
• SportsLine says it simulates every FBS game 10,000 times and reports long-term profitability, including a 38-25 mark on money-line and totals picks since early 2024.