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SPD Leads in Hamburg Polls Despite Declines, CDU and AfD Gain Ground

New surveys show SPD maintaining a lead in Hamburg's upcoming election, while CDU and AfD see notable improvements in voter support.

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Hamburgs Bürgermeister Peter Tschentscher (SPD, l.), liegt in den Umfragen klar vor der Grünen Katharina Fegeabank und Dennis Thering (r.) von der CDU
Deutschlandtrend: Derzeit scheint die AfD von Alice Weidel uneinholbar vor der SPD von Kanzler Olaf Scholz (rechts) zu liegen.
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Overview

  • A recent poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the SPD leading with 32% ahead of the March 2 Hamburg state election, despite a drop from its 2020 results.
  • The CDU and AfD have both seen significant gains, polling at 18% and 9%, respectively, compared to their 2020 performances.
  • The Greens are projected to secure 19%, a decline from their 2020 result of 24.2%, while the Left Party is holding steady at 9%.
  • The current SPD-Green coalition in Hamburg retains majority support, with 56% of respondents favoring its continuation.
  • Polls also indicate broader national trends, with the CDU/CSU maintaining a lead in Bundestag projections, while the SPD trails behind the AfD in some surveys.