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4d ago

Spanberger Widens Lead Over Earle-Sears in Virginia Governor’s Race

A VCU poll highlights broad Democratic leads despite a large share of undecided independent voters.

Former Representative Abigail Spanberger speaks in Dumfries, Virginia on October 25, 2022.
Republican Virginia gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears during a campaign event in Vienna, Va., on July 1, 2025.

Overview

  • The VCU poll shows Spanberger with 49% support to Earle-Sears’s 37%, marking a 12-point advantage in the gubernatorial contest.
  • Democratic lieutenant governor nominee Ghazala Hashmi leads Republican John Reid 46% to 36%, and attorney general nominee Jay Jones holds a 47% to 38% edge over Jason Miyares.
  • The survey of 764 registered voters was conducted June 19 through July 3 and carries a margin of error of ±4.16 percentage points.
  • Nearly half of independent voters—47%—remain undecided across all three statewide races, indicating potential volatility in the closing weeks.
  • Governor Glenn Youngkin’s approval rating stands at 49% approve and 39% disapprove, and the Cook Political Report classifies the Virginia governor’s race as Lean Democratic.