Overview

• Spanberger leads 46% to 39% among likely voters in the latest Roanoke College survey, holds a 44% to 36% favorability edge, and 14% remain undecided.
• Since May, Spanberger has gained 3 points and Earle-Sears 13, narrowing the gap from 17 points to 7.
• In down-ballot races, Democrat Ghazala Hashmi leads John Reid 38% to 35% for lieutenant governor and Democrat Jay Jones leads Attorney General Jason Miyares 41% to 38%, both within the margin of error.
• Pollsters report many Republicans have “come home” to Earle-Sears, while Spanberger’s supporters are slightly more enthusiastic and more certain of their vote.
• Virginia’s political climate shows Trump approval at 41% and 52% saying the state is on the right track; the Aug. 11–15 poll of 702 residents carries a margin of error of about ±4.3%.