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Spanberger Leads as Redistricting Push Disrupts Final Week in Virginia Governor’s Race

A surprise redistricting session forced Earle-Sears off the trail in the final week, recasting the closing message of a race Spanberger currently leads.

Overview

  • House Democrats advanced an initial resolution to begin a two-session constitutional process to allow mid-decade congressional redistricting, with the Senate slated to consider it in the coming days.
  • The special session required Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears to preside in Richmond, causing her to miss multiple campaign stops before she returned to the trail Thursday and accused Democrats of trying to sideline her.
  • Late polling continues to favor Abigail Spanberger for governor, including Roanoke College at 51% to 41% and YouGov at 55% to 41%, consistent with averages showing a high single-digit advantage.
  • The attorney general race has shifted toward Republican Jason Miyares, with Roanoke College measuring a 46% to 38% lead after revelations about Democratic nominee Jay Jones’s 2022 violent text messages.
  • Nearly 987,000 early ballots have already been cast, and the commonwealth is certain to elect its first woman as governor.