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Spanberger Holds Late Polling Lead as Virginia Governor’s Race Enters Final Weekend

A surprise redistricting session pulled Earle‑Sears off the trail, with the attorney general contest shifting after Jay Jones’s texts.

Overview

  • A Roanoke College/IPOR survey conducted Oct. 22–27 shows Abigail Spanberger leading Winsome Earle‑Sears 51% to 41%, while other recent polls put the gap in the mid- to high‑single digits.
  • Early voting has surged, with nearly 987,000 ballots cast as of Monday, signaling high turnout ahead of Tuesday’s election.
  • Democrats convened a special legislative session to advance a constitutional redistricting amendment, requiring Earle‑Sears to preside in the Senate and miss campaign events.
  • Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares now leads Democrat Jay Jones in multiple polls after 2022 text messages from Jones describing violent fantasies became public.
  • Earle‑Sears’s campaign bus caught fire Thursday with no injuries reported, as both campaigns press on with final events and Spanberger prepares to rally with Barack Obama on Saturday.