Particle.news
Download on the App Store
10 ARTICLES
·
9h ago

Spanberger Holds 12-Point Advantage as Earle-Sears Shakes Up Campaign

Cook rates the contest as Lean Democratic, positioning the outcome as a bellwether for party strength ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Former Representative Abigail Spanberger speaks in Dumfries, Virginia on October 25, 2022.
Winsome Earle-Sears, Republican gubernatorial candidate for Virginia, speaks during a campaign event at the Vienna Volunteer Fire Department in Vienna, Virginia, on July 1, 2025.
Republican Virginia gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears during a campaign event in Vienna, Va., on July 1, 2025.
Image

Overview

  • The latest VCU poll shows Abigail Spanberger leading 49% to 37% over Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears among registered voters with a ±4.16% margin of error.
  • Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears removed campaign manager Will Archer and political director Richard Wagner as she reorganizes her staff.
  • Spanberger’s campaign raised a record $10.7 million in the second quarter, giving her roughly $15.2 million in cash on hand compared to Earle-Sears’s $4.5 million.
  • Democrats Ghazala Hashmi and Jay Jones also hold double-digit leads in the lieutenant governor and attorney general races.
  • Nearly half of independent voters remain undecided across the three statewide contests, underscoring their power to influence the November outcomes.