Overview
- An Oct. 30 Roanoke College poll shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger leading Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by roughly 10 points heading into Election Day.
- AdImpact reports Spanberger and allies have aired about $50 million in ads versus roughly $25 million for Earle-Sears and GOP groups, reflecting a broader Democratic spending edge across Tuesday’s key contests.
- Republicans have launched a late multimillion-dollar turnout drive funded by President Trump’s operation, with at least $1 million targeted to voters in both Virginia and New Jersey and tele-rallies scheduled Monday night.
- Earle-Sears is pressing schools, taxes and public safety in swing suburbs like Loudoun County, while Spanberger emphasizes abortion rights, as strategists assess that GOP attack messaging has underperformed.
- Rising energy costs tied to Virginia’s booming data center footprint have become a campaign issue, with Spanberger proposing that data centers pay a fair share of grid costs as Earle-Sears largely deflects blame to Democratic clean-energy policies.
- Down-ballot, Democratic attorney general candidate Jay Jones’ resurfaced 2022 texts about “two bullets” have become a liability, with the race against GOP incumbent Jason Miyares tight and Republicans outspending Democrats on ads.