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Spain Starts Short Warm Spell as Mexico Faces Monsoon Rains and Extreme Heat

Forecasters link the contrast to a temporary high in Spain alongside tropical wave and jet interactions in Mexico.

Overview

  • AEMET confirms a brief 'veranillo de San Miguel' with mostly clear skies and daytime highs above 30°C in the interior south and near 25°C in parts of the interior north.
  • Local forecasts in Galicia and Asturias report dry, sunny conditions on 25 September with 0% rain probability, noting the anticyclone is expected to weaken toward the weekend.
  • AEMET flags exceptions to the fair weather, including locally strong rain in northeast Catalonia, light precipitation on the eastern Cantabrian coast, and possible showers in Mallorca and Menorca.
  • Mexico’s SMN/Conagua warns that the Mexican monsoon, a subtropical jet and Tropical Wave No. 34 will generate very strong to locally intense rains across the northwest, center and south.
  • SMN/Conagua forecasts extreme heat of 40–45°C in parts of Baja California and Sonora, with storms capable of lightning and hail and a flooding risk in states such as Sinaloa, Nayarit and southern Chihuahua.