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Spain Set for Midweek Rains as Possible Mediterranean DANA Looms

Forecasters warn of a possible cut-off low that could intensify eastern rains.

Overview

  • AEMET expects the first showers in Andalusia on Wednesday in Jaén, Almería and Granada, with broader rain spreading across most provinces on Thursday and reaching all by Friday.
  • Meteored flags the potential formation of a DANA from Wednesday that could drive intense, persistent rainfall, with eastern Spain—especially coastal Murcia and southern Valencia—most exposed on Thursday.
  • Prediction models point to 10–20 l/m² in 24 hours in some areas and up to about 50 l/m² over two to three days on the Murcian and southern Valencian coasts, though totals remain uncertain.
  • The Balearic Islands and Catalonia face yellow alerts for rough seas and northerly to northwesterly winds with gusts near 70 km/h, including 3–4 m waves on the Girona coast and possible rissagas in Menorca and Mallorca.
  • Temperatures are forecast to drop sharply, ending the recent autumn warmth—with interior highs falling 4–6 °C and Mediterranean highs sliding from around 30 °C to about 22 °C—after a mostly stable Monday and Tuesday.