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Spain Enters 2026 Electoral Cycle as Budget Showdown Looms

The opposition is mobilizing to capture regional strongholds; the government is scrambling to pass a contested budget under the shadow of judicial probes.

Oriol Junqueras en la sede de ERC, calle Calàbria.
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Overview

  • Alberto Núñez Feijóo has ordered the PP’s electoral machinery into action to win absolute majorities in Castilla y León (March 2026) and Andalusia (June 2026) without relying on Vox.
  • Andalusian president Juanma Moreno is keeping election dates flexible—either alongside national polls or a few weeks later—to ride potential momentum while safeguarding his moderate brand.
  • Pedro Sánchez insists he will serve until 2027 but must contend with the fallout from UCO corruption findings and the Supreme Court’s confirmation of Attorney General Álvaro García Ortiz’s prosecution.
  • The Sánchez administration is brokering deals with parties such as Coalition Canaria to secure votes for its 2026 budget after two years of prorogued spending plans.
  • To bolster his standing, Sánchez has highlighted foreign policy moves—shifting toward Europe’s FCAS fighter program and endorsing a UN Gaza mission—in response to domestic strains.